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GLOBAL RESEARCH (CANADA) : FEATURE ARTICLES

25 November -  3 December 2003

Iraq: The Truth on the Convoy which was attacked while driving through Samara  

The Rise of a New Dictatorship in Iraq , Firas Al-Atraqchi

The FTAA Protests: This is What Democracy Looks Like in Miami, Al Crespo

Enforcing Globalization: New World Order Weapons, John Valleau

Police State in America: Bush’s Operation Clean Sweep: World War IV in 2004? John Stanton

Manipulating Pathologic Evidence: The David Kelly Story: Turning Murder into Suicide, Rowena Thursby

The Legend of 9/11: Coincidence or Conspiracy: The Tale of The Millennial Bomber, Chaim Kupferberg

Assassination of Reuters Cameraman, who had uncovered evidence of Mass US Casualties in Iraq, Felicity Arbuthnot

Legal Scam in Denmark: Danish government lawyers removed preconditions for invasion of Iraq, Coilín Oscar ÓhAiseadha

Le Général Franks doute que la Constitution survive à une attaque aux ADM (armes de destruction massive) , John O. Edwards

Who’s Holding All the Cards?... The Bipartisan War Agenda, Michel Chossudovsky & Ian Woods

Being "Against the War" is now a "Terrorist Act": FBI Targets Anti-War Activists

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jim goulding's Journal (255)

Saturday November 29, 03
01:44 PM - Winter is Coming Intro (a book about the coming crisis)
The following is from the book, Winter is Coming, by jim goulding

Introduction

Winter is coming tells the story of a crisis era. This crisis is just a few short years away. A great deal of the theory in this book is based on two generational theorists, William Strauss and Neil Howe, (S&H;)[1] . Neil Howe is a graduate of Yale with degrees in history and economics. William Straus is a graduate of Harvard, with degrees in law, economics, and public policy.

There are a few other cycle theorists mentioned; however, S&H;’s work makes up the heart of this book.

There are also theories of my own. Some are economic, and some are behavioral.

S&H; have complied a huge body of work on generational theory. Their work is extremely well researched and detailed. In their first book, Generations; The History of America’s Future, 1584 to 2069 (Generations), they were the first generational theorists to write about and group every living generation in American history. What they discovered were cycles in our country’s history that explain many of our past events, both good and bad. However, it’s what they were able to tell us about the future that makes Generations so fascinating.

Generations was written in 1991 and many of the events foretold have come true, with startling accuracy.

In S&H;’s 1997 book, The Fourth Turning, they explore, in great detail, the coming crisis era they call Winter. Many of the predictions in The Fourth Turning have already come true.

In writing Winter is coming, I wanted to spread the word about their predictions. Furthermore, I wanted to present the information in a short, concise, less detailed, and abbreviated manner. However, in the later chapters, I’ve written about some issues that I think can’t be overlooked. Those issues are behavioral. More precisely, I take several generations and archetypes to task.

My hope is that you, the reader, will use this book as a stepping-stone to The Fourth Turning.

Numerous books have been written about coming apocalyptic events: Why should this one be any different? To explain this I need to present a little background on how I came to find S&H.;

The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) has been my career-home since I was seventeen years old. Today, I’m forty-one years old. In the years in between, I’ve studied many
theorists who predict the future for a living. That’s because the CBOT is a futures-trading exchange. If you work there and trade for a living, you always want to know what is going to happen in the future. If you can figure the future out, you can figure the market out. Needless to say, millions of people have been trying to do this for hundreds of years. I am but one of them.

As I said earlier, I am always studying methods of trying to predict the future. This is exactly how I came across S&H.; I’d been studying human behavior and economic cycles. Harry S. Dent (HS Dent) is a phenomenal economic theorist. He’s the only person I’d read, back in the 1990s, that accurately forecasted DOW 10,000 (this in his 1991 book, The Great Boom Ahead).

He went on to write The Roaring 2000s. In that book he predicts DOW 35,000 by 2009.

Furthermore, in the book The Roaring 2000s, Dent wrote about S&H; and their generational theory. (Some of HS Dent’s work is included in this book.) It fascinated me, so I ran out and bought Generations and The Fourth Turning. What truly astounded me was that many of their predictions about society had come true since they’d written the books. This sent me to the book stores to read other books on the same topic.

The problem was, the other books didn’t do so well at predicting the future. In fact, they were really off. It seemed that many of the books didn’t take generational shifts into account. They were predicting that a generation of people would either act the same in different age locations or they’d behave the same as the previous generation did throughout their collective life.

The Late Great Planet Earth [2] is a typical example. Wow! Is it possible to be that wrong and sell a few million books? Apparently, yes.

What’s interesting about generational theory is that it can explain why The Late Great Planet Earth sold so many copies in its first few years. It was released in May 1970.

The timing couldn’t have been more perfect (albeit lousy predictions). It was specifically directed at a generation of Prophet-Idealists, the Boomers (b.1943-1960), and a generation looking for some comfort in Catholicism after the church let them down in the early 1960s, the Silent generation (b.1925-1942).

I don’t mean to pick on that particular book, but come on. The predictions weren’t even close! If they had been, we’d all have met Christ by now. However, I admire Hal Lindsey (and C.C. Carlson) for writing it. Trying to predict the future takes guts, so, hats off.
 
S&H;’s theories are not only correct, they’re scary. If they continue their streak, we are headed for a major catastrophe.

Lastly, it doesn’t matter what line of business you are in or what walk of life you come from, this book is for all of you because the crisis will affect all of you.

Take care,
jim goulding
www.jamesgoulding.com

References
[1] For the remainder of the book, I will write the authors’ names as Strauss and Howe in the first reference in each chapter. Thereafter, I’ll refer to them as S&H.;
[2] Lindsey, Hal, and C.C. Carlson.

* * *
Books by William Strauss and Neil Howe, used for research in this book.

Generations; The History to America’s Future, 1584-2069. Published by William Morrow and Company, Inc., 1350 Avenue of the America’s, New York, NY 10019.

The Fourth Turning; An American Prophecy. Published by Broadway Books, a division of Bantam Doubleday Dell Publishing Group, Inc., 1540 Broadway, New York, NY 10036.

13th Gen; Abort, Retry, Ignore, Fail?, by Strauss and Howe. Published in the United States by Vintage Books, a division of Random House, Inc., New York.

I also used the book The Roaring 2000s, by Harry S. Dent, JR. Published by Simon & Schuster through their division, Touchstone, Rockefeller Center, 1230 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10020.

Copyright:
All rights reserved.
Copyright© 2003, James A. Goulding, Elmhurst, Illinois.

This book may not be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the author, James A. Goulding.

Printed electronically in the U.S.A. by Jim Goulding
Cover Design by James A. Goulding
Editing by Jordan Watkins

Disclaimer:
This book is not an investment book. It’s for informational purposes only. Always, always, always, seek the advice of a professionally certified investment adviser. I may be a trader, but that does not qualify me to give investment advice nor do I want to give you that impression.

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